our by-election night starts here. We've got a top class political panel with Greens leader Zack Polanski, and the party chairs of Labour and Reform. Who’s confident - and whose momentum’s about to stall? And Nick Watt is at the Gorton & Denton count with the latest from the parties as the votes pile up. With Paddy O'Connell.

The show’s own verdict is on its page.